Points of View
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    Points of View
    Robert E DiClerico , Allan S. Hammock , Dr Robert DiClerico , and Allan Hammock
    Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Humanities/Social Sciences/Languages
    ProductGroup: Book
    Binding: Paperback

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    1. American Government: Readings and Cases (16th Edition) American Government: Readings and Cases (16th Edition)
    2. How to Prepare for the AP U.S. Government & Politics (Barron's How to Prepare for the  Ap Us Government and Politics Advanced Placement Examination) How to Prepare for the AP U.S. Government & Politics (Barron's How to Prepare for the Ap Us Government and Politics Advanced Placement Examination)
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    ASIN: 0072817399

    Book Description

    This comprehensive best-selling reader features contrasting viewpoints on current political debates and traditional topics of interest in contemporary American Government courses. By providing two opposing positions for each topic, Points of View challenges students to examine and appreciate differing perspectives.
    Statistical Inference and Simulation for Spatial Point Processes (Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability)
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      Statistical Inference and Simulation for Spatial Point Processes (Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability)
      Jesper Moller , and Rasmus Plenge Waagepetersen
      Manufacturer: Chapman & Hall/CRC
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      Binding: Hardcover

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      5. Statistical Methods for Spatial Data Analysis (Texts in Statistical Science Series) Statistical Methods for Spatial Data Analysis (Texts in Statistical Science Series)

      ASIN: 1584882654

      Book Description

      Spatial point processes play a fundamental role in spatial statistics and today they are an active area of research with many new applications. Although published works address different aspects of spatial point processes, most of the classical literature deals only with nonparametric methods, and nowhere can one find a thorough treatment of the theory and applications of simulation-based inference. Written by researchers at the top of the field, this book collects and unifies recent theoretical advances and examples of applications. The authors examine Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and explore one of the most important recent developments in MCMC-perfect simulation procedures.

      The System: The American Way of Politics at the Breaking Point
      Average customer rating: 4.5 out of 5 stars
      • Classic political process book
      • CREDIBLE?
      • Our rulers speak. Pay attention, proles!
      • Stunning inside look at politics
      • Shows Politics As the Messy But Necessary Evil It Is
      The System: The American Way of Politics at the Breaking Point
      Haynes Johnson , and David S. Broder
      Manufacturer: Little Brown & Co (T)
      ProductGroup: Book
      Binding: Hardcover

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      2. Showdown at Gucci Gulch Showdown at Gucci Gulch
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      5. Government's End: Why Washington Stopped Working Government's End: Why Washington Stopped Working

      ASIN: 0316469696

      Customer Reviews:

      5 out of 5 stars Classic political process book.......2006-12-19

      Perhaps only Showdown at Gucci Gulch matches The System for a true focus on how big-time policy really gets enacted - or doesn't as the Clinton health care drive shows. Whereas the Gucci Gulch focused on Reagan's 1986 tax policy overhaul success, The System follows President Clinton's efforts to revamp healthcare in America. What makes The System more representative of the political process than Gucci Gulch is that healthcare reform failed. Because of Clinton management inexperience, and Gingrich "coagulation" and scare tactics, healthcare reform never happened. That may be for the better. Clinton's plan left little to be desired, though it was not the "socialized medicine" that the right claimed it was. Still, that does not mean it was a worthy plan. The real problem, however, that scoring political success for both sides trumped the search for wise policy. Most everyone at the outset agreed that there was something wrong with healthcare, but change failed to occur. And no one is absolved of blame by Johnson and Broder: the President, First Lady, the wider Administration, Congress, the press, interest groups, and the public all allowed this to happen. Again, that doesn't mean that Clinton's plan should have been adopted, but something could have been done to better deal with the many healthcare problems plaguing the nation.

      Regardless, The System is a must-read for anyone who wants to see American politics as it really exists.

      3 out of 5 stars CREDIBLE?.......2001-09-08

      I read this book a few years ago as a requirement for my Master's degree in public administration. I read along with interest because the story that unfolded read like some sort of sordid drama, like something you might see on prime time television. It had suspense, intrigue, and some of the most stunning ups and downs. And all this from a book that attempts to comprehensively explain the hopeful beginnings and hopeless endings of the Clintons' (both Bill and more specifically Hillary) attempts to implement universal health care in the United States. Think back, if you will, to the campaign promises Bill Clinton made in his first campaign. He vowed to fight for universal health care. Many Americans like this idea, but when it comes right down to it, most Americans do not trust the government to provide their health care and also feel that government intervention in private health care makes the system... socialist. Bill wanted to change this, and when he was elected, he appointed his wife, Hillary, to chair a committee to research and implement this new universal health care system. However, this was his first mistake. The American people at that time were very suspicious and skeptical of Mrs. Clinton, feeling that she did not embody what a First Lady should be. They also felt that she had demonstrated no real qualifications for this appointment. The writers of this book document the controversies and problems brilliantly. I felt confident about the facts... until I was happily reading along (the book, despite its daunting length, reads through smoothly and quickly) and found a most glaring and heinous error. The writers were discussing the positions of Fred Grandy, who, after leaving television, went on to represent his home state of Iowa in Congress. We all know Fred Grandy as Gopher on the tv show Love Boat. But this book said that he had been a star on the show Gilligan's Island! I started to exercise real doubt and skepticism about a book that managed to get through all stages of editing with such an easily spotted error on its pages. Whatever the case, if you want to know how the plan was formed and how it was unraveled quite easily not just by opposition Republicans but also by Hillary herself, you should indeed read this. Hillary and her policy wonk friend Ira Magaziner had many opportunities to compromise on some of the points in their health care plan which would have made it an easier sell to Republicans. In fact many Republicans offered to work with Hillary and Magaziner, but the stubborn duo insisted on having the plan intact... and ended up getting nothing. As did the American people.

      4 out of 5 stars Our rulers speak. Pay attention, proles!.......2001-06-21

      If you read this book in the wrong frame of mind, you won't like it. The wrong frame is to believe that it consists of honest reporting about the U.S. health care system, and the Clinton health bill of `93. It's mainly not reporting. It's advocacy.

      The key is found in the intro, where the authors define "The System" that rules USAmerica -- which includes the Presidency, the Congress, the media ... AHH! The fact that they think the media is part of the govt., just not elected, is itself worth the price of this volume.

      Taken in this vein, it is quite good. We must have a national health system like a European country's , because ... well, because they feel embarrassed that we aren't like Europe. That the U.S. was settled, predominantly, by people who WANTED NOT TO LIVE IN EUROPE is unimportant to Johnson and Broder, who know better than to take the this self-govt. nonsense seriously.

      What is serious is that the USAmerican public rejects 'socialized medicine.' So instead Clinton wrapped it up in his mess of a bill, and then tried to scare us into panic over our health care, saying the system would collapse if we didn't give control of it to the govt. Not true, and Johnson & Broder know it, but hey, can't let truth stand in the way of ruling.

      Frequently THE SYSTEM is unintentionally funny, too, as when the authors take a break from reporting the `horse race' political aspects of the story to criticize the media for concentrating on the `horse race' instead of the policy substance, after which they trash the only attempt ever made to discuss the policy substance (Elizabeth McCaughey's famous piece in The New Republic) and go back to reporting the horse race. You sort of wonder if they read their own manuscript.

      But have some sympathy. They do mention the policy substance from time to time -- our rulers think we spend far too much money on foolish things like attempting to save the lives of premature infants. Those resources should go to more important things, like health care for "homeless, drug abusing gay and bisexual men of color." I mean, would you want to defend THAT openly?

      It's also very useful in assessing the nature of liberal bias in the press. The last chapter of the hardcover first edition, on sale in 1996, told us about good Pres. Clinton's attempts to `save' the federal budget before runaway health care spending wrecked it, and evil House Speaker Newt Gingrich's attempts to `cut health care spending,' when in both cases they were trying to do the same thing -- cut the rate at which spending on health care would increase in the future. That's one way you bias coverage -- describing things in such a way as to create the desired reaction, which in this case was to get us to run out and vote Democratic.

      The last chapter of this paperback edition mentions the Kassenbaum-Kennedy bill, passed by Congress and signed by Clinton. All mention of it was carefully left out of the first edition. That's another way of biasing coverage -- leave out the `unimportant' stuff that might confuse the citizenry.

      And if you practice your critical thinking skills as you read, you will learn a lot about the chaotic way Clinton ran his administration, how the Democrats lost control of the House after twenty straight wins, why the bill was so complex, and other fascinating stuff.

      What you won't learn how the Clinton health plan would have worked, of course. Obviously, they were afraid of your reaction if you found out. That is probably the most important information in the book.

      5 out of 5 stars Stunning inside look at politics.......2000-01-07

      The Clinton Health Care plan was a bold, dramatic attempt to transform the American health care system to take into account the fact that while America may provide the best health care in the world, far too many of its citizens are unable to afford it. Clinton's attempt, probably the most dramatic attempt at a government program since the Great Society, failed miserably and helped to elect a Republican Congress.

      The battle the voters didn't see was the important one- the battle which nearly sank the Clinton Presidency and destroyed its ambitious health care proposal. The powers arrayed against the Clinton plan were formidable and well-financed, aided by the Administration's mind-numbing blunders.

      "The System" has the entire story- the high hopes, the stunning reversals, the industry's toxic reaction to reform. The Clintonites quickly found that the old adage is true. No good deed goes unpunished.

      "The System" is a very good book at who really calls the shots in American government and how little power people really have against the special interests. More valuable than ten years of civics lessons.

      4 out of 5 stars Shows Politics As the Messy But Necessary Evil It Is.......1999-12-30

      This is an excellent book for any student of the political process.

      The authors are biased. They believe the Hillary Clinton health care plan should have been enacted and present their study from this point of view. Their slant is annoying. However, it ultimately does not detract too much from a very able telling of the conceptualization, selling, manuevering and strategy employed by both sides over the struggle to socialize medicine in the United States.

      Although never pretty or highminded as we are taught in civics class, the book shows a democratic (small "d") system at work. Both sides had true believers who were guided by philosophy and were trying to do what was "right." Both sides had craven opportunists driven by darker more mercurial instincts. The American Congress worked to examine the issue and resolve the dispute as the framers had intended: by providing a forum for parties on both sides of the debate to hash out their perspectives and come to a resolution (one must always keep in mind that an equally legitimate action of any legislative body is to say no to proposals that are unwise or do not have sufficient political support.)

      This book will educate the average citizen and fascinate the political junkie.
      Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics
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        Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics
        P. Bremaud
        Manufacturer: Springer
        ProductGroup: Book
        Binding: Hardcover

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        ASIN: 0387905367
        Counting Processes and Survival Analysis (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
        Average customer rating: 4 out of 5 stars
        • Well-written and Informative
        Counting Processes and Survival Analysis (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
        Thomas R. Fleming , and David P. Harrington
        Manufacturer: Wiley-Interscience
        ProductGroup: Book
        Binding: Paperback

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        4. Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data
        5. Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data (Springer Series in Statistics) Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data (Springer Series in Statistics)

        ASIN: 0471769886

        Book Description

        The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists.

        "The book is a valuable completion of the literature in this field. It is written in an ambitious mathematical style and can be recommended to statisticians as well as biostatisticians."
        -Biometrische Zeitschrift

        "Not many books manage to combine convincingly topics from probability theory over mathematical statistics to applied statistics. This is one of them. The book has other strong points to recommend it: it is written with meticulous care, in a lucid style, general results being illustrated by examples from statistical theory and practice, and a bunch of exercises serve to further elucidate and elaborate on the text."
        -Mathematical Reviews

        "This book gives a thorough introduction to martingale and counting process methods in survival analysis thereby filling a gap in the literature."
        -Zentralblatt für Mathematik und ihre Grenzgebiete/Mathematics Abstracts

        "The authors have performed a valuable service to researchers in providing this material in [a] self-contained and accessible form. . . This text [is] essential reading for the probabilist or mathematical statistician working in the area of survival analysis."
        -Short Book Reviews, International Statistical Institute

        Counting Processes and Survival Analysis explores the martingale approach to the statistical analysis of counting processes, with an emphasis on the application of those methods to censored failure time data. This approach has proven remarkably successful in yielding results about statistical methods for many problems arising in censored data. A thorough treatment of the calculus of martingales as well as the most important applications of these methods to censored data is offered. Additionally, the book examines classical problems in asymptotic distribution theory for counting process methods and newer methods for graphical analysis and diagnostics of censored data. Exercises are included to provide practice in applying martingale methods and insight into the calculus itself.

        Customer Reviews:

        4 out of 5 stars Well-written and Informative.......2005-06-06

        This is one of the best treatments I have read on the martingale theory of the analysis of survival data. This material really gets you under-the-hood of proportional hazards modeling and details when the theory is applicable and where things can break down in the models. This is positively a "must-own" for advanced researchers working with survival data and a "good-to-have" desk reference for anyone dealing with survival data.

        Chapter 0 provides a meaningful introduction, and the authors use real-world survival data sets to set the stage for the basic concepts. They like the PBC liver study data set a lot and use it frequently through the text. There is some great material in this short chapter, including a formal definition of the hazard function, a nice overview of the Kaplan-Meier estimator, and an introduction of the Cox model with a very nice, intuitive treatment of the derivation of Cox's partial likelihood function. The authors also set the stage for the martingale theoretic treatment and give three motivating (and compelling) reasons for the theory.

        Chapter 1 covers the basics from stochastic analysis that are required for the remainder of the book. Basic definitions and concepts like filtration, conditional expectation, the definition of a martingale and the Doob-Meyer decomposition are covered. No prior knowledge of stochastic analysis is assumed. However, a good understanding of measure theory is very helpful (something along the lines of the first four chapters for Rudin's Real and Complex Analysis, 3rd edition). The chapter wraps up with the martingale transformation theorem.

        The main aim of Chapter 2 is to establish quadratic variation properties for continuous compensators of counting processes. This material is heavily used in the asymptotic Brownian motion material in Chapter 5 (where a large part of the story rests on the limiting behavior of quadratic variation). To get there, a number of localization results are established. The Optional Sampling Theorem is stated and used (the proof is referenced out to the literature). The main workhorse, the Optional Stopping Theorem is established as a nice application of optional sampling.

        Chapter 3 is a wonderful, rigorous treatment of the survival estimators and test statistics that we know and love and always wondered why these are vaguely true. The main result is the consistency of the Kaplan-Meier estimator, which foreshadows the consistency results for the Cox regression estimator established in Chapter 8.

        The proportional hazards model and multiplicative intensity models are the main focus of Chapter 4. The modeling framework is introduced, basic concepts such as uninformative censoring are introduced and the method of partial likelihoods is explored in depth. The chapter just has great little pearls sprinkled throughout, including martingale properties for Breslow's estimator for baseline hazard and a number of modeling building diagnostic techniques. There is also a very nice set of graphs on the martingale residual technique of assessing functional form of continuous covariates.

        Chapter 5 is the core of the book and develops the asymptotic limit results, including the martingale central limit theorem for counting processes. The chapter is nearly self-contained, with the occasional reference to one of the classical probability texts like Chung or Billingsley. Proofs that could prove a distraction to the main thread are placed in the appendix.

        Chapters 6, 7 and 8 provide very nice applications of the martingale central limit theorem. These include: building confidence bands, establishing large sample properties of test statistics and putting Cox's technique of partial likelihoods on solid footing by establishing by establishing consistency and asymptotic normality.

        As a wish list item for the next edition, it would be nice to see a chapter or two covering Markov Processes and Competing Risks.
        Random Point Processes in Time and Space (Springer Texts in Electrical Engineering)
        Average customer rating: Not rated
          Random Point Processes in Time and Space (Springer Texts in Electrical Engineering)
          Donald L. Snyder , and Michael I. Miller
          Manufacturer: Springer
          ProductGroup: Book
          Binding: Hardcover

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          1. An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes, Volume 1 An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes, Volume 1

          ASIN: 0387975772

          Book Description

          This senior graduate level textbook is the second revised edition of the textbook "Random Point Processes", written by D.L. Snyder and published in 1975. Its main thrust is point processes on multidimensional spaces, especially to processes in two dimensions. This reflects the tremendous increase that has taken place in the use of point-process models for the description of data from which images of objects of interest are formed in a wide variety of scientific and engineering disciplines. Research done by the authors at the Biomedical Computer Laboratory at Washington University has led to newly developed models for position emission tomography and electron-microscopic autoradiography. All the applications which the authors have been involved are examples of nonparametric density estimation, which provides the major motivation for new results on constrained estimation techniques. For these applications, the use of unconstrained maximum-likelihood estimation fails because the estimates are not consistent in the statistical sense; they do not converge, with increasing amounts of data, towards the quantity being estimated. Regularization of the estimates is, therefore, absolutely essential, and knowledge of this subject is crucial.
          Statistics of Random Processes I
          Average customer rating: 2.5 out of 5 stars
          • A masterpiece... but full of typos
          • the book, give me a clear idea of sthocastics random process
          Statistics of Random Processes I
          Robert S. Liptser , and Albert N. Shiryaev
          Manufacturer: Springer
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          Binding: Hardcover

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          5. Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion (Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften) Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion (Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften)

          ASIN: 3540639292

          Book Description

          The subject of these two volumes is non-linear filtering (prediction and smoothing) theory and its application to the problem of optimal estimation, control with incomplete data, information theory, and sequential testing of hypothesis. The book is not only addressed to mathematicians but should also serve the interests of other scientists who apply probabilistic and statistical methods in their work. The theory of martingales presented in the book has an independent interest in connection with problems from financial mathematics.
          In the second edition, the authors have made numerous corrections, updating every chapter, adding two new subsections devoted to the Kalman filter under wrong initial conditions, as well as a new chapter devoted to asymptotically optimal filtering under diffusion approximation. Moreover, in each chapter a comment is added about the progress of recent years.

          Customer Reviews:

          2 out of 5 stars A masterpiece... but full of typos.......2002-03-07

          This is volume 1 of a famous masterpiece. It has an ample coverage of a very interesting and useful subject. It is very well organized, and the style is very appealing. The big problem is the incredibly large number of typos! Some are irrelevant, some others are annoying, and the rest are just dangerous, the kind that can make you question your own sanity until you realize there is a mistake. The problem is particularly vexing because it is the second edition, and the authors claim they did not change this volume very much. Then it means that the publishers did not bother to correct the typos from the first edition, a serious case of malpractice. The problem is so huge that I am returning Volume 2. (By the way, the second edition of Shiryaev's classic book on Probability suffers from the same problem, lots and lots of typos.) The editors and publishers could pay more attention to proofreading books of this sort, in which even a small typo can seriously mar the presentation of the argument. Or at least they could provide errata lists on the Web.

          3 out of 5 stars the book, give me a clear idea of sthocastics random process.......1998-08-17

          I'm interesting in this book, becouse i need it to make a homework.
          The Right Moment: Ronald Reagan's First Victory and the Decisive Turning Point in American Politics
          Average customer rating: 4.5 out of 5 stars
          • Exceeded expectations--a great read
          • RONALD REAGAN'S FIRST POLITICAL VICTORY
          • Great book on important story
          • Important Book
          • Excellent Information
          The Right Moment: Ronald Reagan's First Victory and the Decisive Turning Point in American Politics
          Matthew Dallek
          Manufacturer: Oxford University Press, USA
          ProductGroup: Book
          Binding: Paperback

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          ASIN: 0195174070

          Amazon.com

          When Ronald Reagan won the Republican nomination for governor of California in 1966, The New York Times called the GOP's decision "against all counsels of common sense and political prudence." That comment probably deserves to go down in history as one of the most spectacularly wrong political assessments ever to appear in a newspaper. As historian Matthew Dallek writes in The Right Moment, his account of Reagan's campaign against Democratic governor Pat Brown, "Ronald Reagan redefined politics like no one since Franklin Roosevelt." The future president's "stunning, out-of-nowhere victory," in which he beat Brown by nearly a million votes, altered the course of American politics for at least a generation: it signaled liberalism's descent into the fatal politics of 1970s McGovernism, announced the rebirth of the conservative movement out of the ashes of Barry Goldwater's crushing defeat two years earlier, and foreshadowed Reagan's greater accomplishments on the national stage.

          Before becoming governor, Reagan faced the formidable challenge of persuading mainstream voters that an affable actor could indeed perform effectively as a chief executive. But an even trickier task, in Dallek's telling, was how Reagan rescued the conservative movement from its own extremist elements. There was, for instance, the John Birch Society, a right-wing organization whose thousands of members would form a part of any successful conservative coalition, but whose leaders believed in the plainly absurd idea that President Eisenhower was a Communist agent. Reagan at once had to harness this group's energies and keep his distance from its nuttier beliefs. This he accomplished with a deftly written one-page statement repudiating some of what the group's leaders had alleged and courting their followers at the same time. By zeroing in on this half-forgotten episode of Reagan's career, Dallek shows how the consequences of one election can reverberate throughout the years. This book is almost as much about Pat Brown as it is about Ronald Reagan--fans of Ronald Radosh's Divided They Fell, for instance, will surely enjoy that aspect of it--but most readers will be drawn to The Right Moment for its detailed chronicle of how Reagan got his start in politics. --John J. Miller

          Book Description

          Ronald Reagan's first great victory in the 1966 California governor's race is one of the pivotal stories of American political history, a victory that seemed to come from nowhere and has long since confounded his critics. Just four years earlier Governor Edmund "Pat" Brown was celebrated as the "Giant Killer" for his 1962 victory over Richard Nixon, and his liberal agenda reigned supreme. Yet in 1966 political neophyte Reagan trounced Brown by almost one million votes, marking not only the coming-of-age of Reagan's new conservatism but also the first serious blow to modern liberalism. Drawing on scores of oral histories, thousands of archival documents, and personal interviews with participants, Dallek offers a gripping new portrait of the 1960s that is far more complicated than our collective memory of that decade.

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          Nineteen sixty-six was a pivotal year of national turmoil and change. From the Watts riots the summer before to the burgeoning anti-war protests, America was on the verge of a major revolution. A revolution that would begin with Ronald Reagan's landslide victory in the California gubernatorial race.

          Before 1966 Reagan was regarded as a B-movie actor, shrill anti-Communist, and president of the Screen Actor's Guild, not the leader of a major political movement that would forever change American politics. Pat Brown, his rival in the race for California, was a seasoned professional: "The Giant Killer" who had defeated Richard Nixon in 1962 and represented the best of liberal America. How a small time conservative Republican could beat this popular and powerful Democrat by over a million votes is a fascinating story that takes us to the heart of who Ronald Reagan was, as a man and as a politician.

          With charm and insight, Matthew Dallek shows how Reagan, through his tremendous political savvy, was able to assess the climate far better than his rival and deliver what people wanted. He chronicles a victory that marked the beginning of a complete shift in politics that would eventually carry Ronald Reagan to the White House.

          Customer Reviews:

          5 out of 5 stars Exceeded expectations--a great read.......2007-07-29

          Not being a fan of the usual election campaign books, I took this up with low expectations. I just wanted to know something about Ronald Reagan's first campaign for governor. I also suspected that it would be something of a hatchet job on RR. To my pleasant surprise, Matthew Dallek has produced an engaging--even exciting--narrative that is very well balanced. Though he does tend to laud the "responsible liberalism" of Edmund "Pat" Brown, the Democratic incumbent that Reagan unseated, he also fairly portrays the new conservatism and "Creative Society" philosophy of Ronald Reagan and his supporters. I highly recommend this work as essential for understanding the beginnings of the Reagan Revolution. After this, a good read that bookends the subject is John Ehrman's 'The Eighties: America in the Age of Reagan.'

          5 out of 5 stars RONALD REAGAN'S FIRST POLITICAL VICTORY.......2005-11-03

          Ronald Reagan's speech in favor of Barry Goldwater's presidential campaign was the starting point of his political career. His successful campaign for governor of California, against incumbent Pat Brown, was the start of the conservative movement.
          His ability to bring together the Birch society members, the conservative democrats, Republican moderates and other conservatives proved that Reagan was a political genius. Many believed that a B movie actor, former Roosevelt democrat, GE pitchman, and former union member could never be considered a serious political campaigner. How wrong they were !
          Matthew Dallek, in this wonderfully written account goes to great length to describe all the events surrounding that first campaign, the race riots (Watts), the student uprising at Berkeley, the divisions within both the democratic and conservative parties, and all the characters who were directly involved in the campaign. He is fair and allows the reader to really understand how the conservative movement in America really started with Reagan's first successful run in California.
          He also tells us that Reagan became a true hero and political mentor to many politicians, as is the case of the current Governor of California, Arnold Schwarzeneger. Both men had many different political beliefs, but they both had great personal charisma. Their foundations are very similar.
          This is a great book with many details. Highly recommended and very enjoyable to read.

          5 out of 5 stars Great book on important story.......2005-08-07

          Matthew Dallek's account of Reagan's victory in California's gubernatorial race of 1966 is a page turner. People interested in political history will learn much about Reagan's character and about the shortcomings of liberalism in the sixties. Great book.

          4 out of 5 stars Important Book.......2005-06-13

          The Book "The Right Moment" by Matthew Dallek is an important piece of balanced research into the 1966 campaign for Governor of California. The race chronicles one conservative (actor turned politician) verse an old guard liberal who dominated California politics for the last eight years named Pat "The Giant Killer" Brown.

          This book makes a few very important cases. One being Reagan benifited from the changing trends in politics nationally as well as in California. There is no doubt there is truth in that but it is also important to note that Reagan did what no other modern conservative had done and that is win big. Dallek understands that it was Reagan's skill plus the right times which brought about a national change. Riots, Vietnam, and the failings of the Great Society turned America into a nation ripe for political change. Reagan was the man who lead the revolution from California and eventually ending with the demise of communism in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe.

          Dallek also understands what many authors do not and that is Reagan ran a mainstream conservative campaign from California on into the White House.

          It is also important to note that this book chronicles the life, campaigns, and ambition of Pat Brown who was a very able politician who knocked off former Vice President Richard Nixon in 62 who challenged Brown's hold on Sacramento.

          Much of the problem with Brown was that he underestimated Reagan (which would not be the last time an incumbent did that) and failed to quell the anarchy in Watts and Berkley.

          If you enjoy studying Ca politics, political campaigns, or political history this book is very valuable and brings out a lot of new information on the 66 Governor's race. Another strong quality is the balanced approach "The Right Moment" offers and its obviously well researched. I believe more could have easily been written about the 66 race.

          4 out of 5 stars Excellent Information.......2004-08-26

          The Right Moment details the governor's race in 1966 with Pat Brown (the incumbent) against a political newcomer, one Ronald Reagan. I thoroughly enjoyed this book for one major fact: It wasn't all about Reagan.

          Writing books about Reagan is a cottage industry, and most of them, while not bad, rarely cover new territory. ("God and Reagan" by Paul Kengor being one of the few recent exceptions.) I started this book expecting it to be another cheerleading Reagan-was-great gloss-over.

          Thankfully, it's anything but. While it does detail Reagan's ascendancy in the conservative movement (and, not incidentally, his discarding of his liberal past) and his subsequent race for the governorship, it is more about California politics in general and the disintegration of Pat Brown's stewardship.

          It has what every election book has: the personality profiles of the political bosses, the attempts of primary challengers to knock out the inevitable winner, the gaffes and "defining" moments that seem ridiculously banal thirty years hence; and the culminating victory.

          There are only two disappointments. One is there is very little detailing the mixing of Hollywood and California politics. Many believe that Reagan was the first, and he was the most important. However, George Murphy ("a song-and-dance man") became a hard-right senator before Reagan even "converted" to politics, and he gets scant mention. And Helen Gahagan is ignored as well. This isn't a book about Hollywood and politics, but it was an important enough phenomenon it might have been given a bit more consideration.

          The other miss is the "election roundup" common in books of this type; I like them. I would have been interested to know where in California he had pulled his support--both geographically and demographically. There's a little bit at the end but not much.

          Thankfully, one thing that is left out is the expected "and this was the start of something big" nonsense. While true, it could degenerate into a love feast with the same platitudes you read in other Reagan books. There is no such section in this book, which increases its quality.

          People might dismiss this book as a Reagan book, and in reality it's not. It is an excellent portal into a small fraction of a very influential movement.
          Statistics of Random Processes II
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            Statistics of Random Processes II
            Robert S. Liptser , and Albert N. Shiryaev
            Manufacturer: Springer
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            Binding: Hardcover

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            Book Description

            The subject of these two volumes is non-linear filtering (prediction and smoothing) theory and its application to the problem of optimal estimation, control with incomplete data, information theory, and sequential testing of hypothesis. The book is not only addressed to mathematicians but should also serve the interests of other scientists who apply probabilistic and statistical methods in their work. The theory of martingales presented in the book has an independent interest in connection with problems from financial mathematics.
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            Point Processes and Their Statistical Inference (Probability, Pure and Applied, a Series of Textbooks and Reference Books, 7)
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              Manufacturer: CRC
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